12 reasons...

From Mike "Mish" Shedlock  12 Reasons US Recession Has Arrived (Or Will Shortly)

1. Europe is a disaster.
2. US manufacturing is cooling rapidly
3. China is cooling rapidly: China Manufacturing PMI 7-Month Low, Sharpest Decline in New Export Orders Since March 2009
4. US Monetary policy is at best useless, but more likely net harmful, especially to those on fixed income.
5. First year presidential politics are frequently recessionary
6. US still needs fiscal tightening
7. Unemployment insurance has expired for millions: 200,000 Lose Unemployment Benefits This Week, Nearly Half From California
8. Self-Employment desperation: 100% of U.S. Jobs Added Since 2010 Have Been Self-Employment, Contractor, or Other Jobs Without Unemployment Insurance Benefits
9. Last two jobs reports have been dismal: Another Payroll Disaster: Jobs +69,000, Employment Rate +.1 to 8.2%, April Jobs Revised Lower to +77,000; Long-term Unemployment +310,000
10. The 4-week moving average of weekly unemployment claims is at the highest rate of the year, at 386,250.
11. New home sales cannot gain significant traction: New Home Sales Hype vs. Reality
12. Tax Armageddon