July 5, 2012
Probabilidad de deflación en aumento.
Las probabilidades de deflación siguen incrementando por lo que refuerzo mi idea de que pronto la Fed anunciará más medidas como el QE3, tan pronto como en la reunión de agosto.
Prices of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) with similar maturity dates can be used to measure probabilities of a net decline in the consumer price index over the five-year period starting in early 2011 or the five-year period starting in early 2012. One measure of the probability of deflation for the 2012–17 period was 17 percent on July 3, up slightly from 16 percent on June 26. The deflation probability for the 2011–16 period inched down from 14 percent on June 26 to 13 percent on July 3.
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