October 9, 2012

Congressional Research Service: Fiscal cliff

More on the "Fiscal cliff" but now on words of The Congressional Research Service (CRS)
The Congressional Research Service (CRS) works exclusively for the United States Congress, providing policy and legal analysis to committees and Members of both the House and Senate, regardless of party affiliation. As a legislative branch agency within the Library of Congress, CRS has been a valued and respected resource on Capitol Hill for nearly a century.
CRS is well-known for analysis that is authoritative, confidential, objective and nonpartisan. Its highest priority is to ensure that Congress has 24/7 access to the nation’s best thinking.

You can find the complete document here, it is a must read since address all the aspect of the fiscal cliff. And also you can find the named "Budget Control Act of 2011" here

Excerpt:
Many budget analysts are concerned about future levels of federal debt and acknowledge that the current spending and revenue collection cannot continue at current or projected future levels. However, making significant changes to spending or revenue policies at this time may be harmful to the ongoing economic recovery
...
Further, they estimate that allowing the policies .... to take effect as scheduled under current law, would result in real GDP growth of 0.5% in calendar year 2013. In contrast, CBO estimates that reversing these policy changes as scheduled under current law would lead to real GDP growth of 4.4% in calendar year 2013.
...
The contraction economists expect will occur should current law fiscal policies take effect can likely be dampened with action taken to prevent spending cuts or tax increases. There are differences, however, in the level of expected growth and employment given different policy choices. A 2010 CBO report concluded that policies designed to increase aid to the unemployed are more effective at boosting unemployment than across-the-board income tax reductions.
...
Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, among others, has told Congress that they should take steps to “work to address the nation’s fiscal challenges in a way that takes into account both the need for long-run sustainability and the fragility of the recovery.” He stated that the spending and tax policies set to take effect in 2013 could endanger the recovery and recommended that Congress work to implement a credible medium-term plan for deficit reduction.

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